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By The Numbers: The Race For The West's No. 4 Seed

Thursday, 04.5.2012 / 1:06 AM CT / Features
By Jay Levin  - Nashville Predators
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By The Numbers: The Race For The West\'s No. 4 Seed
re-edited after Wednesday night's games

With three nights left in the regular season, it remains a three team race for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference  playoff seeding --- and the final home ice advantage seed in the Conference. Chicago, Detroit, and Nashville are all still potentials to finish No. 4 in the Conference.

Beware, this is written for the detailed stats geek.

Remaining Schedules
Chicago: THU @Minnesota; SAT @Detroit
Detroit: THU vs New Jersey; SAT vs Chicago
Nashville: THU vs Dallas; SAT @Colorado
There you've been warned. If you read on it is at your own peril.

Heading into Wednesday night's games the Preds have 100 points with two more games to play, the Wings have 101 points with two more games to play, and the Hawks have 98 points with two more games to play. The Wings and Hawks close out the season with a head-to-head match-up in Detroit on Saturday afternoon, which clarifies some of the scenarios for the Predators.

Here's a detailed team-by-team look at the various scenarios facing all three teams based on the number of points it wins this week...


Nashville - 2 games remaining / 4 potential points
...with 4 points --- Nashville would be assured at least the No. 5 seed and would earn the No. 4 seed if Detroit earns 3 points or less in its two games; nothing Chicago could do would be able to catch the Preds
...with 3 points --- Nashville would be assured at least the No. 5 seed and would earn the No. 4 seed if Detroit earns 2 points or less in its two games; nothing Chicago could do would be able to catch the Preds
...with 2 points --- Nashville would be assured at least the No. 5 seed and would earn the No. 4 seed if Detroit earns 1 point or less in its two games; nothing Chicago could do would be able to catch the Preds
...with 1 point --- Nashville would earn the No. 4 seed if Detroit earns 0 points in its two games AND Chicago earns 3 points or less in its two games; Nashville would earn the No. 5 seed if only one of those two conditions comes through (Detroit earns 0 points OR Chicago earns 3 points or less); Nashville would earn the No. 6 seed if neither of those conditions come through (if Detroit earns 1 point or more AND Chicago earns 4 points)
...with 0 points --- Nashville would not be able to earn the No. 4 seed and would only earn the No. 5 seed if Chicago earns 2 points or less in its two games; Nashville would earn the No. 6 seed if Chicago earns 3 points or more in its two games


Chicago - 2 games remaining / 4 potential points
...with 4 points --- Chicago would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 1 point or less AND Detroit earns 1 point or less as long as one of Chicago's wins come in regulation or overtime; Chicago would earn the No. 5 seed if only one of those two conditions comes through (Nashville earns 1 point or less OR Detroit earns 1 point or less plus the regulation/overtime wins conditions); Chicago earns the No. 6 seed if neither of those conditions come through (Nashville earns 2 points or more AND Detroit earns 2 points or more)
...with 3 points (1-0-1) --- Chicago would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 0 points AND Detroit earns 0 points; Chicago would earn the No. 5 seed if only one of those two conditions comes through (Nashville earns 1 point OR Detroit earns 1 point); Chicago earns the No. 6 seed if neither of those conditions come through (Nashville earns 1 point or more AND Detroit earns 1 point or more)
...with 2 points, 1 point, or 0 points --- Chicago would only be able to earn the No. 6 seed


Detroit - 2 games remaining / 4 pointential points
...with 4 points --- Detroit would earn the No. 4 seed; nothing Chicago or Nashville could do would be able to catch the Wings
...with 3 points --- Detroit would be assured at least the No. 5 seed and would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 3 points or less; nothing Chicago could do would be able to catch the Wings
...with 2 points --- Detroit would be assured at least the No. 5 seed and would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 2 points or less; nothing Chicago could do would be able to catch the Wings
...with 1 point --- Detroit would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 1 point or less AND Chicago earns 3 points or less (or if Chicago earns 4 points provided both Chicago wins come in a shootout); Detroit would earn the No. 5 seed if only one of those two conditions comes through (Nashville earns 1 point or less OR Chicago earns 3 points or less/4 points with the regulation/overtime wins stipulations); Detroit would earn the No. 6 seed if neither of those conditions come through (Nashville earns 2 points or more AND Chicago earns 4 points with the proper regulation/overtime wins stipulations)
...with 0 points --- Detroit would earn the No. 4 seed if Nashville earns 0 points AND Chicago loses in regulation at Minnesota on Thursday; Detroit would earn the No. 5 seed if only one of those two conditions come through (Nashville earns 0 points OR Chicago loses in regulation at Minnesota on Thursday); Detroit would earn the No. 6 seed if neither of those conditions come through (Nashville earns 1 point or more AND Chicago earns at least 1 point at Minnesota on Thursday)


SMASHVILLE CENTRAL

SCHEDULE
 

HOME
AWAY
PROMOTIONAL

STANDINGS
 

WESTERN CONFERENCE
  TEAM GP W L OT GF GA PTS
1 CHI 58 36 18 4 160 134 76
2 DAL 55 35 15 5 178 147 75
3 STL 57 31 17 9 138 133 71
4 LAK 54 33 18 3 151 128 69
5 COL 58 29 25 4 155 160 62
6 SJS 53 28 20 5 154 143 61
7 ANA 53 26 19 8 120 125 60
8 NSH 55 25 21 9 142 148 59
9 ARI 54 25 23 6 143 164 56
10 MIN 54 23 21 10 133 134 56
11 VAN 54 22 20 12 125 144 56
12 CGY 54 25 26 3 144 160 53
13 WPG 54 24 27 3 139 157 51
14 EDM 56 22 29 5 138 168 49

STATS

2015-2016 REGULAR SEASON
SKATERS: GP G A +/- Pts
R. Josi 55 11 29 -2 40
F. Forsberg 55 18 18 -7 36
S. Weber 55 14 21 -5 35
M. Ribeiro 55 6 28 3 34
J. Neal 55 20 13 18 33
M. Ekholm 55 6 19 3 25
R. Ellis 54 6 16 2 22
C. Smith 55 11 7 -1 18
C. Jarnkrok 54 9 8 0 17
C. Wilson 38 4 12 -1 16
 
GOALIES: W L OT Sv% GAA
P. Rinne 20 18 8 .902 2.57
C. Hutton 5 2 1 .916 2.36